Recordedmatch positions.

Nautico vs Botafogo SP

Country

Brazil

League

Serie B

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 02:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Nautico are unbeaten in 7 of their last 10, concede just 0.6 per home game, and Botafogo SP score only 0.8 per away game; the last league meeting was 1-1 and the model puts 1X at 72% (high quality, xG 1.28-0.92). Main risk: Nautico have only 3 wins in that run, so this leans heavily on the draw leg.

Nasaf Qarshi vs Neftchi Fargona

Country

Uzbekistan

League

Super League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Neftchi Fargona scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.88 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 3/4. Main risk: Neftchi Fargona failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets.

Navbahor Namangan vs Lok. Tashkent

Country

Uzbekistan

League

Super League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 90%. Navbahor Namangan scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 9/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.99 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 2/2. Main risk: Navbahor Namangan failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 1/10 clean sheets.

Nasaf Qarshi vs Neftchi Fargona

Country

Uzbekistan

League

Super League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 68%. League leaders Neftchi Fargona (14W-3D-2L, +35) have won the last two head-to-heads and 4 of the last 8, while Nasaf have lost their last four matches and average just 0.5 goals at home; model 70% (high quality). Main risk: Nasaf's home matches are very low scoring (0.5 conceded per game), which raises the draw.

Gabala vs Imisli FK

Country

Azerbaijan

League

Premier League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 68%. Both sides are among the lowest scoring in the league - Gabala average 0.9 scored/0.8 conceded and Imisli 0.6/0.9, with only 2 of each side's last 10 going over 2.5; model under probability 72% (high quality). Main risk: two of the last three head-to-heads produced 3+ goals.

Navbahor Namangan vs Lok. Tashkent

Country

Uzbekistan

League

Super League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 17:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. Navbahor have won 7 of the last 8 head-to-heads against Lok. Tashkent, sit 3rd with 11 wins in 19, and are unbeaten in 8 of their last 10; model double chance 77%. Main risk: Lok. Tashkent score in almost every away game (9 of 10 BTTS) and sit only two places lower.

Pakhtakor vs Andijan

Country

Uzbekistan

League

Super League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 18:15 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Pakhtakor have lost just once in 19 league matches (11W-7D-1L, 2nd place) and concede 0.8 per game at home; model double chance 81% (high quality). Main risk: Andijan won 3-2 at Pakhtakor in April 2025 and the most recent meeting was a 0-0 draw, and Pakhtakor lost their most recent match.

Jippo vs KTP

Country

Finland

League

Ykkosliiga

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 18:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 81%. KTP scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.63 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 3/4. Main risk: KTP failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets.

Jippo vs KTP

Country

Finland

League

Ykkosliiga

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 18:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. League leaders KTP (15W-3D-3L) have won 5 of their last 6 with the other drawn, and the head-to-head series is draw-heavy (4 draws in the last 8), which double chance covers; model 77%. Main risk: Jippo sit 4th, are solid at home (0.75 conceded), and beat KTP twice in 2024.

Abha vs Al Ettifaq

Country

Saudi Arabia

League

Saudi Professional League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 79%. Al Ettifaq scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.73 goals; no usable dated H2H. Main risk: Al Ettifaq failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets.

Omonia 29th May vs Karmiotissa

Country

Cyprus

League

Cyprus League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 71%. Over 2.5 landed in 8/10 recent Omonia 29th May matches and 7/10 recent Karmiotissa matches; the high-quality model rates it 71% with a 75% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 3/6. Main risk: dated H2H hit in only 3/6.

Abha vs Al Ettifaq

Country

Saudi Arabia

League

Saudi Professional League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Abha are winless in their last 10 (0W-4D-6L) with the league's bottom-two start (1 point from 4, -6 goal difference) while conceding 2.0 per game; Al Ettifaq won 2 of their first 4; model double chance 78%. Main risk: Al Ettifaq's own away form is modest (1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded) and Abha have won 3 of the last 8 head-to-heads.

Omonia 29th May vs Karmiotissa

Country

Cyprus

League

Cyprus League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Omonia 29th May opened with a +3 win, average 3.0 goals at home, and the head-to-head is heavily draw-weighted (5 draws in the last 8), which the double chance covers; model 74% (high quality). Main risk: Karmiotissa won at Omonia in January 2025 and score 2.33 per away game.

PK-35 vs Ekenas

Country

Finland

League

Ykkosliiga

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 19:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Second-placed PK-35 (13W-5D-3L, +23) have won the last three head-to-heads against 6th-placed Ekenas, who have lost 11 of 21 and average 1.0 goal away; model double chance 87% (high quality). Main risk: Ekenas won three straight meetings in 2025 and PK-35 concede 1.33 per game at home.

Arminia Bielefeld vs St. Pauli

Country

Germany

League

2. Bundesliga

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 19:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Over 2.5 landed in 9/10 recent Arminia Bielefeld matches and 8/10 recent St. Pauli matches; the high-quality model rates it 76% with a 85% empirical component, and no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 3/20 combined recent team-match observations missed over 2.5.

Hannover vs Karlsruher SC

Country

Germany

League

2. Bundesliga

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 19:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Over 2.5 landed in 7/10 recent Hannover matches and 8/10 recent Karlsruher SC matches; the high-quality model rates it 72% with a 75% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 3/4. Main risk: 5/20 combined recent team-match observations missed over 2.5.

Tekstilshtik vs Torpedo Moscow

Country

Russia

League

FNL

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 19:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 83%. Torpedo Moscow scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.37 goals; no usable dated H2H. Main risk: Torpedo Moscow failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets.

Arminia Bielefeld vs St. Pauli

Country

Germany

League

2. Bundesliga

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 19:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Arminia's last 10 have produced 9 overs on 3.8 scored per game, St. Pauli's last 10 have 8 overs and 9 BTTS with 2.67 scored/2.0 conceded away; model over probability 76% (high quality). Main risk: both sides opened the 2. Bundesliga season with tighter, lower-scoring league games.

Tekstilshtik vs Torpedo Moscow

Country

Russia

League

FNL

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 19:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Torpedo Moscow have won 4 of their last 5, concede just 0.17 per away game (one goal in six), and face a Tekstilshtik side with 1 win in 9 scoring 0.6 per game; model 88% (high quality). Main risk: the historical head-to-head is draw-heavy (four draws), all from Tekstilshtik's stronger 2019-22 era.

Hannover vs Karlsruher SC

Country

Germany

League

2. Bundesliga

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 19:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Hannover have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads against Karlsruher, average 3.1 goals over their last 10, and the market's 1.70 home price implies about 76% for the double chance after devig; model 79%. Main risk: Hannover lost 2 of their first 3 league games this season.

Aalesund vs Start

Country

Norway

League

Eliteserien

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Over 2.5 landed in 8/10 recent Aalesund matches and 8/10 recent Start matches; the high-quality model rates it 78% with a 80% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 2/4. Main risk: dated H2H hit in only 2/4.

Lyon vs Auxerre

Country

France

League

Ligue 1

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 81%. Lyon scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.95 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 3/4. Main risk: Lyon failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets.

Norrkoping vs Ljungskile

Country

Sweden

League

Superettan

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 85%. Norrkoping scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.17 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 1/1. Main risk: Norrkoping failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets.

Oster vs Nordic United

Country

Sweden

League

Superettan

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Nordic United scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.21 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 1/1. Main risk: Nordic United failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets.

Slavia Mozyr vs Vitebsk

Country

Belarus

League

Vysshaya Liga

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 71%. Vitebsk scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.54 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 0/3. Main risk: Vitebsk failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 0/3.

Viborg vs Lyngby

Country

Denmark

League

Superliga

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Viborg scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.08 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 1/3. Main risk: Viborg failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 1/3.

Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt

Country

Norway

League

Eliteserien

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 75%. Runaway leaders Bodo/Glimt (14W-2D-2L, +33) score 3.2 per away game, are unbeaten in 10, and have won 6 of the last 7 head-to-heads with one draw; model 81% (high quality). Main risk: Fredrikstad arrive on a five-match winning streak and their home games are very low scoring (0.5 conceded).

Norrkoping vs Ljungskile

Country

Sweden

League

Superettan

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. League leaders Norrkoping have won 9 of their last 10 (+28 goal difference), concede 0.4 per home game, and beat Ljungskile 1-0 away in April; model 82% (high quality). Main risk: Ljungskile are compact away (0.8 conceded per game), which could keep the margin narrow.

Viborg vs Lyngby

Country

Denmark

League

Superliga

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Third-placed Viborg (4W-1D-1L) concede just 0.2 per home game and face winless Lyngby (0W-3D-3L); model 76% (high quality). Main risk: recent head-to-heads are draw-heavy - four of the last eight meetings, including both last season, ended level.

Slavia Mozyr vs Vitebsk

Country

Belarus

League

Vysshaya Liga

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Vitebsk have won 8 of their last 10 with six clean sheets and concede 0.71 per away game, and the most recent head-to-head was a draw, which the double chance covers; model 77% (high quality). Main risk: Slavia Mozyr have won 4 of the last 8 direct meetings including 4-0 and 3-0 results.

Basaksehir vs Galatasaray

Country

Turkey

League

Super Lig

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Galatasaray are unbeaten on 7 points from 3, score 3.0 per away game, and have won 7 of the last 8 head-to-heads with the other drawn; model double chance 82% (high quality). Main risk: Basaksehir at home held Galatasaray to 2-2 in January 2025 and derby intensity adds variance.

Lyon vs Auxerre

Country

France

League

Ligue 1

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Lyon are unbeaten this season, have won 5 of the last 8 head-to-heads with two more drawn, and Auxerre have lost both openers with a -5 goal difference and just 1 over in 4 away games; model double chance 80%. Main risk: Auxerre beat Lyon 2-1 at home in 2023 and Lyon's overall scoring rate is modest (1.3 per game).

Aalesund vs Start

Country

Norway

League

Eliteserien

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Aalesund's matches average 5.6 total goals over the last 10 (3.1 scored, 2.5 conceded; 8 overs) and 8 of Start's last 10 also went over, with Aalesund's home games at 2.4-3.2; model over probability 78% (high quality). Main risk: three of the last five head-to-heads produced 2 or fewer goals.

Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona

Country

Switzerland

League

Challenge League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Over 2.5 landed in 8/10 recent Aarau matches and 6/10 recent Rapperswil-Jona matches; the high-quality model rates it 70% with a 70% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 3/4. Main risk: 6/20 combined recent team-match observations missed over 2.5.

CFR Cluj vs Farul Constanta

Country

Romania

League

Superliga

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. CFR Cluj scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.77 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 3/4. Main risk: CFR Cluj failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets.

Kriens vs Lausanne Ouchy

Country

Switzerland

League

Challenge League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Lausanne Ouchy scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.96 goals; no usable dated H2H. Main risk: Lausanne Ouchy failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets.

Richards Bay vs AmaZulu

Country

South Africa

League

Betway Premiership

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 79%. AmaZulu scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.45 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 4/5. Main risk: AmaZulu failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets.

Kriens vs Lausanne Ouchy

Country

Switzerland

League

Challenge League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 71%. Unbeaten leaders Lausanne Ouchy (4W-2D-0L) score 2.33 per away game and have the league's best goal difference; model double chance 80% (high quality). Main risk: Kriens sit 3rd, defend well at home (0.8 conceded), and won 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads in 2021-22.

CFR Cluj vs Farul Constanta

Country

Romania

League

Superliga

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. CFR Cluj have won 6 of the last 8 head-to-heads including the most recent, score 2.25 per home game, and the 1.82 home price implies roughly 76% for the double chance after devig; model 72%. Main risk: CFR lost 3 of their opening 6 and Farul are unbeaten in 5 of 7.

Richards Bay vs AmaZulu

Country

South Africa

League

Betway Premiership

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. AmaZulu have won 4 of the last 6 head-to-heads including both meetings last season, while Richards Bay have zero wins in their last 10 (8 draws), a profile double chance covers on both sides; model 76%. Main risk: Richards Bay's draw habit means AmaZulu's outright win is far from assured, and they won here 2-0 in November 2025.

Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona

Country

Switzerland

League

Challenge League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 20:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 69%. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in its last 10 matches, Aarau's games show 8 BTTS and Rapperswil-Jona's 7, and the last four head-to-heads produced scorelines like 4-5, 5-3 and 2-1; model BTTS 68% (high quality). Main risk: Rapperswil-Jona have failed to score in 3 of their last 10.

Al Ahli SC vs Al Riyadh

Country

Saudi Arabia

League

Saudi Professional League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Al Riyadh scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.31 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 1/4. Main risk: Al Riyadh failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 1/4.

Al Shabab vs Al Hilal

Country

Saudi Arabia

League

Saudi Professional League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 86%. Al Hilal scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.48 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 4/4. Main risk: Al Hilal failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets.

Almere City vs Jong Ajax

Country

Netherlands

League

Eerste Divisie

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 79%. Over 2.5 landed in 9/10 recent Almere City matches and 7/10 recent Jong Ajax matches; the high-quality model rates it 79% with a 80% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 1/2. Main risk: 4/20 combined recent team-match observations missed over 2.5.

FC Emmen vs FC Volendam

Country

Netherlands

League

Eerste Divisie

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. Over 2.5 landed in 7/10 recent FC Emmen matches and 9/10 recent FC Volendam matches; the high-quality model rates it 73% with a 80% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 1/1. Main risk: 4/20 combined recent team-match observations missed over 2.5.

Grenoble vs Annecy

Country

France

League

Ligue 2

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Annecy scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.69 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 4/5. Main risk: Annecy failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets.

Helmond vs Venlo

Country

Netherlands

League

Eerste Divisie

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 88%. Venlo scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 9/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.34 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 2/3. Main risk: Venlo failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 1/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 2/3.

Heracles vs De Graafschap

Country

Netherlands

League

Eerste Divisie

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 81%. Over 2.5 landed in 8/10 recent Heracles matches and 9/10 recent De Graafschap matches; the high-quality model rates it 81% with a 85% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 0/1. Main risk: 3/20 combined recent team-match observations missed over 2.5.

Laval vs Red Star

Country

France

League

Ligue 2

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Laval scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.55 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 2/4. Main risk: Laval failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 2/4.

Sparta Rotterdam vs Zwolle

Country

Netherlands

League

Eredivisie

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 77%. Sparta Rotterdam scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 9/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.81 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 2/4. Main risk: Sparta Rotterdam failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 1/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 2/4.

Varazdin vs Istra 1961

Country

Croatia

League

HNL

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Varazdin scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 9/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.59 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 4/8. Main risk: Varazdin failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 1/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 4/8.

Waalwijk vs NAC Breda

Country

Netherlands

League

Eerste Divisie

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 21:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 86%. Waalwijk scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 10/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.44 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 2/2. Main risk: Waalwijk failed to score in 2/10.

Al Shabab vs Al Hilal

Country

Saudi Arabia

League

Saudi Professional League

Match time

Fri, Sep 04, 21:00 GMT+3