Nasaf Qarshi vs Neftchi Fargona

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Neftchi Fargona favourites at 70% (Nasaf Qarshi 11%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.88 to 0.54, 6 wins in Neftchi Fargona's last 10 matches to 3 for Nasaf Qarshi and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 34%. Nasaf Qarshi won 6-2, against the model's 70% for Neftchi Fargona.

Key facts before the match

• Nasaf Qarshi have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 18 Apr 2026, when Neftchi Fargona won 2-1.
• Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.