Arminia Bielefeld vs St. Pauli

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Arminia Bielefeld favourites at 63% (St. Pauli 21%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.75 to 1.56 and 6 wins in Arminia Bielefeld's last 10 matches to 4 for St. Pauli. St. Pauli lead the head-to-head 5-3, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 69%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 16%.

Key facts before the match

• St. Pauli have gone 6 matches without a win.
• They last met on 15 Jul 2023, when St. Pauli won 2-0.