Football · 2. Bundesliga · Germany
St. Pauli vs Nurnberg
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Nurnberg favourites at 58% (St. Pauli 21%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.79 to 0.96, Nurnberg sitting 2nd in the table to St. Pauli's 7th and 6 wins in Nurnberg's last 10 matches to 2 for St. Pauli. St. Pauli lead the head-to-head 7-0, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Nurnberg about 34% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 60%.
Key facts
- Nurnberg are unbeaten in 10 matches.
- St. Pauli are unbeaten in 7 matches.
- Nurnberg scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 16 Mar 2024, when St. Pauli won 2-0.
- Nurnberg have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
Germany•2. Bundesliga
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 15:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 7-3-0
Last 10 matches
1010
11/1125/13
1.102.50
1.101.30
8/1010/10
3/107/10
7/108/10
4/103/10
3/102/10
2/100/10
8/109/10
3/107/10
6/108/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
St. Pauli at homeNurnberg away
45
2/42/5
1/43/5
1/40/5
1.251.80
0.751.20
4/45/5
1/42/5
0/41/5
2/44/5
1/42/5
2/41/5
0/40/5
1/42/5
2/44/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
St. Pauli: 0.96
Expected Goals
Nurnberg: 1.79
St. Pauli
21%
Draw
21%
Nurnberg
58%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 60%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 3.3%
1 — St. Pauli
2.35▲
Implied 41%
Edge -20.2%
X
3.90▲
Implied 25%
Edge -3.8%
2 — Nurnberg
2.85▲
Implied 34%
Edge +24.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
St. Pauli · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Darmstadt#17 vs St. Pauli#7
0-0D
17 Oct2026
Hannover#14 vs St. Pauli#7
1-1D
11 Oct2026
St. Pauli#7 vs Karlsruher sc#13
2-0W
03 Oct2026
St. Pauli#7 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
1-1D
20 Sept2026
Cottbus#9 vs St. Pauli#7
1-1D
12 Sept2026
St. Pauli#7 vs Wolfsburg#3
1-0W
04 Sept2026
Arminia Bielefeld#8 vs St. Pauli#7
2-2D
30 Aug2026
St. Pauli#7 vs Kaiserslautern#4
1-2L
23 Aug2026
rw Essen vs St. Pauli#7
2-0L
14 Aug2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs St. Pauli#7
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Nurnberg · # = league position now
16 Oct2026
Cottbus#9 vs Nurnberg#2
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Nurnberg#2 vs Wolfsburg#3
4-4D
02 Oct2026
Nurnberg#2 vs Ingolstadt
3-1W
19 Sept2026
Karlsruher sc#13 vs Nurnberg#2
0-1W
11 Sept2026
Nurnberg#2 vs Hannover#14
2-1W
05 Sept2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Nurnberg#2
2-2D
29 Aug2026
Nurnberg#2 vs Arminia Bielefeld#8
4-1W
22 Aug2026
Viktoria Koln vs Nurnberg#2
1-1D
15 Aug2026
Greuther Furth#10 vs Nurnberg#2
2-4W
09 Aug2026
Nurnberg#2 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#11
3-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
16 Mar2024
Nurnberg#2 vs St. Pauli#7
0-2•
07 Oct2023
St. Pauli#7 vs Nurnberg#2
5-1•
29 Jan2023
Nurnberg#2 vs St. Pauli#7
0-1•
16 Jul2022
St. Pauli#7 vs Nurnberg#2
3-2•
29 Apr2022
St. Pauli#7 vs Nurnberg#2
1-1•
28 Nov2021
Nurnberg#2 vs St. Pauli#7
2-3•
14 Feb2021
Nurnberg#2 vs St. Pauli#7
1-2•
19 Oct2020
St. Pauli#7 vs Nurnberg#2
2-2•
17 May2020
St. Pauli#7 vs Nurnberg#2
1-0•
06 Oct2019
Nurnberg#2 vs St. Pauli#7
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
St. Pauli
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