York City vs Bristol Rovers

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Bristol Rovers favourites at 66% (York City 17%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.37 to 1.12 and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams scoring at 67%. York City won 3-2, against the model's 66% for Bristol Rovers.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 30 Apr 2016, when Bristol Rovers won 4-1.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.