Football · League Two · England
Barnet vs York City
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Barnet favourites at 51% (York City 27%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.64 to 1.10 and Barnet sitting 2nd in the table to York City's 6th. Bookmakers give Barnet about 46% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 59%.
Key facts
- York City are unbeaten in 6 matches.
- Barnet have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- They last met on 18 Feb 2025, when Barnet won 3-1.
England•League Two
vs
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-1-4
Last 10 matches
1010
18/1415/10
1.801.50
1.401.00
9/109/10
6/103/10
9/107/10
3/102/10
1/103/10
1/101/10
9/1010/10
7/103/10
9/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Barnet at homeYork City away
53
2/50/3
2/52/3
1/51/3
1.800.67
1.601.33
5/52/3
3/50/3
1/50/3
5/53/3
2/51/3
0/50/3
0/51/3
4/50/3
5/52/3
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Barnet: 1.64
Expected Goals
York City: 1.1
Barnet
51%
Draw
22%
York City
27%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 59%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.3%
1 — Barnet
1.97▼
Implied 46%
Edge +4.6%
X
3.80▲
Implied 24%
Edge -2.1%
2 — York City
3.10▲
Implied 30%
Edge -2.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Barnet · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Barnet#2 vs Oldham#22
1-1D
20 Oct2026
Barnet#2 vs Swindon#11
1-3L
17 Oct2026
Tranmere#15 vs Barnet#2
1-2W
10 Oct2026
Bristol Rovers#12 vs Barnet#2
1-3W
06 Oct2026
Afc Wimbledon#3 vs Barnet#2
0-0D
19 Sept2026
Barnet#2 vs Fleetwood#18
3-1W
12 Sept2026
Barnet#2 vs Accrington#13
2-1W
05 Sept2026
Chesterfield#9 vs Barnet#2
3-3D
01 Sept2026
Exeter#10 vs Barnet#2
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Barnet#2 vs Cheltenham#4
2-2D
Team 2 Form
York City · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
York City#6 vs Port Vale#21
2-0W
20 Oct2026
York City#6 vs Accrington#13
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Newport#14 vs York City#6
1-1D
10 Oct2026
York City#6 vs Northampton#19
1-1D
26 Sept2026
York City#6 vs Gillingham#7
3-0W
22 Sept2026
York City#6 vs Rotherham#23
1-1D
19 Sept2026
Chesterfield#9 vs York City#6
2-0L
15 Sept2026
York City#6 vs Newcastle Utd U21#2
1-3L
12 Sept2026
York City#6 vs Swindon#11
4-0W
05 Sept2026
Crewe#3 vs York City#6
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
18 Feb2025
Barnet#2 vs York City#6
3-1•
22 Oct2024
York City#6 vs Barnet#2
3-1•
24 Feb2024
Barnet#2 vs York City#6
2-0•
26 Sept2023
York City#6 vs Barnet#2
2-4•
03 Apr2023
York City#6 vs Barnet#2
1-0•
01 Oct2022
Barnet#2 vs York City#6
0-5•
12 Mar2016
York City#6 vs Barnet#2
1-1•
17 Oct2015
Barnet#2 vs York City#6
3-1•
16 Feb2013
York City#6 vs Barnet#2
1-2•
25 Aug2012
Barnet#2 vs York City#6
1-3•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Barnet
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