SMO◦ANCE

Match Intelligence

Live API

Football · Premier League · England

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool

Sunday, 08 November 2026

Match preview

The model makes Liverpool favourites at 71% (Crystal Palace 14%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.58 to 1.03, Liverpool sitting 4th in the table to Crystal Palace's 17th and 7 wins in Liverpool's last 10 matches to 3 for Crystal Palace. Bookmakers give Liverpool about 56% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 58%.

Key facts

Liverpool are unbeaten in 5 matches.
They last met on 25 Apr 2026, when Liverpool won 3-1.

England•Premier League

Crystal Palace(3)

Rank 17 · 7 pts

W1d

L4d

D7d

L11d

L14d

W18d

L26d

D39d

W42d

L47d

3W · 2D · 5L

Liverpool(3)

Rank 4 · 15 pts

D1d

W4d

W9d

W12d

W15d

L18d

W39d

W44d

D47d

W50d

7W · 2D · 1L

Sunday, 08 November 2026 at 17:00

H2H: 3-4-3

Last 10 matches

1010

14/1821/13

1.402.10

1.801.30

6/108/10

5/106/10

7/107/10

6/103/10

3/103/10

4/102/10

8/108/10

6/106/10

4/106/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

Crystal Palace at homeLiverpool away

2/53/3

0/50/3

3/50/3

1.803.00

1.601.33

3/53/3

3/52/3

2/51/3

4/52/3

3/51/3

1/51/3

2/50/3

3/52/3

2/52/3

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Crystal Palace: 1.03

Expected Goals

Liverpool: 2.58

Crystal Palace

14%

Draw

15%

Liverpool

71%

Over 2.5: 66%

BTTS: 58%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Vig 5.4%

1 — Crystal Palace

4.40▼

Implied 22%

Edge -7.6%

4.20▼

Implied 23%

Edge -7.6%

2 — Liverpool

1.70▲

Implied 56%

Edge +15.2%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.

Team 1 Form

Crystal Palace · # = league position now

28 Oct2026

Fulham#15 vs Crystal Palace#17

0-1W

25 Oct2026

Crystal Palace#17 vs Newcastle#8

0-2L

22 Oct2026

Besiktas#4 vs Crystal Palace#17

2-2D

18 Oct2026

Brighton#3 vs Crystal Palace#17

5-0L

15 Oct2026

Lyon#5 vs Crystal Palace#17

3-2L

11 Oct2026

Crystal Palace#17 vs Nottingham#18

3-1W

03 Oct2026

Crystal Palace#17 vs Bristol City#14

0-2L

20 Sept2026

Leeds#7 vs Crystal Palace#17

0-0D

17 Sept2026

Crystal Palace#17 vs Lech Poznan#1

4-0W

12 Sept2026

Crystal Palace#17 vs Ipswich#12

2-3L

Team 2 Form

Liverpool · # = league position now

28 Oct2026

Liverpool#4 vs Chelsea#5

1-1D

25 Oct2026

Liverpool#4 vs Brighton#3

2-0W

20 Oct2026

Liverpool#4 vs Villarreal#10

4-3W

17 Oct2026

Brentford#6 vs Liverpool#4

1-2W

14 Oct2026

Lask#3 vs Liverpool#4

3-6W

11 Oct2026

Liverpool#4 vs Manchester City#1

0-3L

20 Sept2026

Bournemouth#13 vs Liverpool#4

0-1W

15 Sept2026

Liverpool#4 vs Tottenham#14

3-1W

12 Sept2026

Liverpool#4 vs Fulham#15

0-0D

09 Sept2026

Liverpool#4 vs Atl. Madrid#2

2-1W

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

25 Apr2026

Liverpool#4 vs Crystal Palace#17

3-1•

29 Oct2025

Liverpool#4 vs Crystal Palace#17

0-3•

27 Sept2025