Football · National League · England
Worthing vs Sutton
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Worthing favourites at 65% (Sutton 16%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.93 to 0.83, Worthing sitting 5th in the table to Sutton's 12th and 5 wins in Worthing's last 10 matches to 3 for Sutton. Bookmakers give Worthing about 54% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 53%.
Key facts
- They last met on 24 Jan 2017, when Sutton won 3-2.
England•National League
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-1-1
Last 10 matches
1010
17/1112/17
1.701.20
1.101.70
8/107/10
5/103/10
7/109/10
3/106/10
3/101/10
2/103/10
8/109/10
7/104/10
6/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Worthing at homeSutton away
64
3/60/4
2/62/4
1/62/4
1.830.75
0.831.75
5/63/4
3/60/4
1/60/4
3/64/4
2/62/4
3/60/4
1/61/4
4/61/4
3/63/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Worthing: 1.93
Expected Goals
Sutton: 0.83
Worthing
65%
Draw
19%
Sutton
16%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 53%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.9%
1 — Worthing
1.72
Implied 54%
Edge +10.6%
X
4.00
Implied 23%
Edge -4.4%
2 — Sutton
4.20
Implied 22%
Edge -6.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Worthing · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Wealdstone#20 vs Worthing#5
3-0L
13 Oct2026
Worthing#5 vs Ipswich U21#4
1-2L
10 Oct2026
Worthing#5 vs Solihull Moors#23
5-0W
03 Oct2026
Gateshead#24 vs Worthing#5
1-2W
29 Sept2026
Yeovil#4 vs Worthing#5
1-1D
26 Sept2026
Worthing#5 vs fc Halifax#10
2-1W
19 Sept2026
Hartlepool#21 vs Worthing#5
1-3W
15 Sept2026
Worthing#5 vs Hornchurch#9
1-0W
12 Sept2026
Worthing#5 vs Barrow#8
2-2D
08 Sept2026
Worthing#5 vs Norwich U21
0-0D
Team 2 Form
Sutton · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Harrogate#2 vs Sutton#12
3-1L
17 Oct2026
Sutton#12 vs Truro
1-0W
13 Oct2026
Sutton#12 vs West Brom U21
3-2W
09 Oct2026
Sutton#12 vs Boreham Wood#1
0-2L
03 Oct2026
Kidderminster#11 vs Sutton#12
1-1D
30 Sept2026
Tamworth#18 vs Sutton#12
2-0L
26 Sept2026
Sutton#12 vs Forest Green#17
3-3D
19 Sept2026
fc Halifax#10 vs Sutton#12
1-1D
15 Sept2026
Sutton#12 vs Eastleigh#15
2-1W
12 Sept2026
Sutton#12 vs Scunthorpe#22
0-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
24 Jan2017
Sutton#12 vs Worthing#5
3-2•
14 Jan2017
Worthing#5 vs Sutton#12
2-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Worthing
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