Football · National League · England
Sutton vs Aldershot
Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Aldershot favourites at 44% (Sutton 34%, draw 22%). Bookmakers give Aldershot about 23% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 63%.
Key facts
- Sutton are 12th in National League on 19 points from 14 games; Aldershot are 13th on 18.
- They last met on 3 Apr 2026, when it finished 2-2.
England•National League
vs
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-5-2
Last 10 matches
1010
12/1718/17
1.201.80
1.701.70
7/108/10
3/104/10
9/109/10
6/105/10
1/101/10
3/102/10
9/108/10
4/106/10
6/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Sutton at homeAldershot away
64
3/61/4
1/60/4
2/63/4
1.501.00
1.671.50
4/63/4
3/61/4
2/60/4
5/63/4
4/62/4
1/61/4
2/61/4
3/62/4
3/62/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Sutton: 1.42
Expected Goals
Aldershot: 1.64
Sutton
34%
Draw
22%
Aldershot
44%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 63%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.8%
1 — Sutton
1.75▼
Implied 52%
Edge -18.0%
X
3.70▲
Implied 25%
Edge -2.6%
2 — Aldershot
3.90▲
Implied 23%
Edge +20.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Sutton · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Harrogate#2 vs Sutton#12
3-1L
17 Oct2026
Sutton#12 vs Truro
1-0W
13 Oct2026
Sutton#12 vs West Brom U21
3-2W
09 Oct2026
Sutton#12 vs Boreham Wood#1
0-2L
03 Oct2026
Kidderminster#11 vs Sutton#12
1-1D
30 Sept2026
Tamworth#18 vs Sutton#12
2-0L
26 Sept2026
Sutton#12 vs Forest Green#17
3-3D
19 Sept2026
fc Halifax#10 vs Sutton#12
1-1D
15 Sept2026
Sutton#12 vs Eastleigh#15
2-1W
12 Sept2026
Sutton#12 vs Scunthorpe#22
0-2L
Team 2 Form
Aldershot · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Aldershot#13 vs Wealdstone#20
0-1L
20 Oct2026
Tadley vs Aldershot#13
0-2W
17 Oct2026
Aldershot#13 vs Tadley
2-2D
13 Oct2026
Aldershot#13 vs Norwich U21
5-3W
10 Oct2026
Altrincham#6 vs Aldershot#13
3-1L
03 Oct2026
Aldershot#13 vs Carlisle#14
1-3L
29 Sept2026
Hornchurch#9 vs Aldershot#13
2-1L
26 Sept2026
Aldershot#13 vs Tamworth#18
5-1W
19 Sept2026
Barrow#8 vs Aldershot#13
1-0L
15 Sept2026
Aldershot#13 vs Yeovil#4
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
03 Apr2026
Aldershot#13 vs Sutton#12
2-2•
26 Dec2025
Sutton#12 vs Aldershot#13
0-0•
18 Apr2025
Aldershot#13 vs Sutton#12
1-1•
01 Jan2025
Sutton#12 vs Aldershot#13
1-1•
29 Jul2023
Sutton#12 vs Aldershot#13
0-1•
24 Jul2021
Sutton#12 vs Aldershot#13
1-2•
01 May2021
Sutton#12 vs Aldershot#13
3-1•
06 Oct2020
Aldershot#13 vs Sutton#12
1-2•
26 Aug2019
Aldershot#13 vs Sutton#12
1-1•
29 Dec2018
Sutton#12 vs Aldershot#13
2-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Sutton
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