Football · National League · England
Worthing vs Southend
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Southend favourites at 45% (Worthing 35%, draw 20%). Bookmakers give Southend about 41% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 75%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 8 of Worthing's last 10 matches and 9 of Southend's.
- Southend scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Worthing have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Worthing's last 10 matches and 10 of Southend's.
- Worthing are 5th in National League on 24 points from 13 games; Southend are 3rd on 27.
England•National League
vs
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-0-0
Last 10 matches
1010
19/1225/17
1.902.50
1.201.70
9/1010/10
6/108/10
8/1010/10
3/105/10
2/100/10
1/100/10
9/1010/10
8/109/10
7/1010/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Worthing at homeSouthend away
54
3/52/4
1/52/4
1/50/4
2.202.75
1.001.25
5/54/4
3/53/4
1/51/4
3/54/4
2/51/4
2/50/4
0/50/4
4/53/4
3/54/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Worthing: 1.67
Expected Goals
Southend: 1.92
Worthing
35%
Draw
20%
Southend
45%
Over 2.5: 76%
BTTS: 75%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.5%
1 — Worthing
2.60▼
Implied 35%
Edge -0.4%
X
3.90▲
Implied 24%
Edge -3.6%
2 — Southend
2.25▲
Implied 41%
Edge +4.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Worthing · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Kidderminster#11 vs Worthing#5
1-2W
17 Oct2026
Wealdstone#20 vs Worthing#5
3-0L
13 Oct2026
Worthing#5 vs Ipswich U21#4
1-2L
10 Oct2026
Worthing#5 vs Solihull Moors#23
5-0W
03 Oct2026
Gateshead#24 vs Worthing#5
1-2W
29 Sept2026
Yeovil#4 vs Worthing#5
1-1D
26 Sept2026
Worthing#5 vs fc Halifax#10
2-1W
19 Sept2026
Hartlepool#21 vs Worthing#5
1-3W
15 Sept2026
Worthing#5 vs Hornchurch#9
1-0W
12 Sept2026
Worthing#5 vs Barrow#8
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Southend · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Southend#3 vs fc Halifax#10
2-2D
17 Oct2026
Southend#3 vs Berkhamsted
1-2L
10 Oct2026
Boston Utd#19 vs Southend#3
1-2W
03 Oct2026
Southend#3 vs Afc Fylde#7
3-1W
30 Sept2026
Eastleigh#15 vs Southend#3
1-1D
26 Sept2026
Southend#3 vs Barrow#8
2-4L
19 Sept2026
Gateshead#24 vs Southend#3
1-6W
15 Sept2026
Southend#3 vs Tamworth#18
3-1W
12 Sept2026
Carlisle#14 vs Southend#3
2-2D
05 Sept2026
Southend#3 vs Yeovil#4
3-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Worthing
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