Willem II vs Excelsior

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Excelsior favourites at 69% (Willem II 16%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.83 to 1.32 and 8 wins in Excelsior's last 10 matches to 4 for Willem II. Willem II lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 75%. Excelsior won 3-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 10 Oct 2024, when Willem II won 6-1.