Watford vs Peterborough

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Peterborough favourites at 40% (Watford 35%, draw 25%). That rests on 5 wins in Peterborough's last 10 matches to 3 for Watford. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 51%. Peterborough won 5-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 24 Jul 2013, when it finished 1-1.