Football · League One · England
Peterborough vs Oxford Utd
Saturday, 05 December 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Oxford Utd favourites at 77% (Peterborough 9%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.37 to 0.63, Oxford Utd sitting 3rd in the table to Peterborough's 22nd and 5 wins in Oxford Utd's last 10 matches to 3 for Peterborough. Bookmakers give Oxford Utd about 37% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 41%.
Key facts
- Peterborough have lost 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 13 Aug 2024, when Oxford Utd won 2-0.
England•League One
vs
Saturday, 05 December 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 4-3-3
Last 10 matches
1010
14/2015/7
1.401.50
2.000.70
6/108/10
4/105/10
10/106/10
5/101/10
0/104/10
4/102/10
9/107/10
6/104/10
6/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Peterborough at homeOxford Utd away
54
2/51/4
1/53/4
2/50/4
1.801.50
2.201.25
3/54/4
3/52/4
2/50/4
5/54/4
3/51/4
0/50/4
2/50/4
4/52/4
3/54/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Peterborough: 0.63
Expected Goals
Oxford Utd: 2.37
Peterborough
9%
Draw
14%
Oxford Utd
77%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 41%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.8%
1 — Peterborough
2.50
Implied 37%
Edge -28.1%
X
3.60▼
Implied 26%
Edge -11.8%
2 — Oxford Utd
2.50▲
Implied 37%
Edge +39.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Peterborough · # = league position now
07 Nov2026
Peterborough#22 vs Reading#6
0-5L
31 Oct2026
Peterborough#22 vs Luton#4
0-2L
27 Oct2026
Bradford City#7 vs Peterborough#22
2-0L
24 Oct2026
Bromley#24 vs Peterborough#22
1-1D
20 Oct2026
Huddersfield#1 vs Peterborough#22
4-1L
17 Oct2026
Peterborough#22 vs Burton#15
2-2D
10 Oct2026
Leicester#10 vs Peterborough#22
1-3W
06 Oct2026
Peterborough#22 vs Ipswich U21#4
4-1W
26 Sept2026
Stockport County#2 vs Peterborough#22
1-0L
22 Sept2026
Peterborough#22 vs Colchester#3
3-1W
Team 2 Form
Oxford Utd · # = league position now
10 Nov2026
Oxford Utd#3 vs Cheltenham#3
4-0W
07 Nov2026
Oxford Utd#3 vs Stevenage#16
0-1L
04 Nov2026
Oxford Utd#3 vs Reading#6
2-0W
31 Oct2026
Barnsley#23 vs Oxford Utd#3
1-1D
27 Oct2026
Oxford Utd#3 vs Stockport County#2
1-0W
24 Oct2026
Oxford Utd#3 vs Bradford City#7
0-0D
20 Oct2026
Oxford Utd#3 vs Wigan#21
2-1W
15 Oct2026
Mansfield#11 vs Oxford Utd#3
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Notts County#17 vs Oxford Utd#3
1-2W
06 Oct2026
Exeter#1 vs Oxford Utd#3
2-2D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
13 Aug2024
Oxford Utd#3 vs Peterborough#22
2-0•
08 May2024
Peterborough#22 vs Oxford Utd#3
1-1•
04 May2024
Oxford Utd#3 vs Peterborough#22
1-0•
13 Apr2024
Oxford Utd#3 vs Peterborough#22
5-0•
09 Dec2023
Peterborough#22 vs Oxford Utd#3
3-0•
01 Apr2023
Peterborough#22 vs Oxford Utd#3
0-0•
22 Oct2022
Oxford Utd#3 vs Peterborough#22
1-2•
02 Mar2021
Oxford Utd#3 vs Peterborough#22
0-0•
07 Nov2020
Oxford Utd#3 vs Peterborough#22
1-2•
17 Oct2020
Peterborough#22 vs Oxford Utd#3
2-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Peterborough
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