Troyes vs Lens

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lens favourites at 63% (Troyes 19%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.22 to 1.12, 5 wins in Lens's last 10 matches to 2 for Troyes and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 58%. Lens won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Troyes have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 4 Feb 2026, when Lens won 4-2.