Toulouse vs Lille

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lille favourites at 67% (Toulouse 15%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.13 to 0.84 and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 60%. Lille won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Lille are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• They last met on 12 Apr 2026, when Lille won 4-0.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.