Swindon vs Newport

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Swindon favourites at 49% (Newport 30%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.76 to 1.33, 4 wins in Swindon's last 10 matches to 2 for Newport and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 57%. Newport won 2-0, against the model's 49% for Swindon.

Key facts before the match

• Newport have gone 6 matches without a win.
• Swindon have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 11 Feb 2026, when Swindon won 2-0.