Swansea vs Burnley

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Swansea favourites at 78% (Burnley 5%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 1.86 to 0.25 and 5 wins in Swansea's last 10 matches to 0 for Burnley. It put over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 25%. Swansea won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Burnley have gone 10 matches without a win.
• They last met on 15 Mar 2025, when Burnley won 2-0.