Southampton vs Millwall

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Millwall favourites at 64% (Southampton 16%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.87 to 0.77. Southampton come in with the better recent form (7 wins from 10 to 5), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 45%. Southampton won 5-1, against the model's 64% for Millwall.

Key facts before the match

• Millwall have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 1 Jan 2026, when it finished 0-0.