Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Real Madrid favourites at 75% (Real Sociedad 11%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.52 to 0.82, 8 wins in Real Madrid's last 10 matches to 2 for Real Sociedad and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 54%. Real Madrid won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Real Madrid have won 4 matches in a row.
• Real Sociedad have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 14 Feb 2026, when Real Madrid won 4-1.