Football · LaLiga · Spain
Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Real Sociedad favourites at 68% (Ath Bilbao 15%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.26 to 0.94, Real Sociedad sitting 5th in the table to Ath Bilbao's 13th and 5 wins in Real Sociedad's last 10 matches to 3 for Ath Bilbao. Bookmakers give Real Sociedad about 26% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 49%.
Key facts
- Ath Bilbao kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 2 Oct 2026, when Ath Bilbao won 1-0.
- Real Sociedad have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
Spain•LaLiga
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 23:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 4-2-4
Last 10 matches
1010
10/1222/15
1.002.20
1.201.50
7/107/10
2/105/10
5/108/10
4/106/10
5/102/10
3/103/10
7/108/10
4/107/10
4/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Ath Bilbao at homeReal Sociedad away
45
1/44/5
2/41/5
1/40/5
1.253.60
1.001.40
3/45/5
1/44/5
1/44/5
2/44/5
1/43/5
2/41/5
1/40/5
2/44/5
2/44/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Ath Bilbao: 0.94
Expected Goals
Real Sociedad: 2.26
Ath Bilbao
15%
Draw
17%
Real Sociedad
68%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 49%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.6%
1 — Ath Bilbao
1.97▲
Implied 48%
Edge -33.1%
X
3.60▼
Implied 26%
Edge -9.3%
2 — Real Sociedad
3.70▼
Implied 26%
Edge +42.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Ath Bilbao · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Levante#11 vs Ath Bilbao#13
3-1L
17 Oct2026
Valencia#19 vs Ath Bilbao#13
0-0D
02 Oct2026
Real Sociedad#5 vs Ath Bilbao#13
0-1W
19 Sept2026
Ath Bilbao#13 vs Alaves#7
0-0D
12 Sept2026
Ath Bilbao#13 vs Elche#18
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Ath Bilbao#13 vs Atl. Madrid#2
3-0W
30 Aug2026
Celta Vigo#8 vs Ath Bilbao#13
0-2W
27 Aug2026
Barcelona#1 vs Ath Bilbao#13
2-0L
22 Aug2026
Ath Bilbao#13 vs Sevilla#6
1-3L
21 Aug2026
Zaragoza vs Ath Bilbao#13
3-1L
Team 2 Form
Real Sociedad · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Lillestrom#6 vs Real Sociedad#5
0-6W
18 Oct2026
Malaga#20 vs Real Sociedad#5
2-5W
15 Oct2026
Royale Union sg#4 vs Real Sociedad#5
1-1D
11 Oct2026
Real Sociedad#5 vs Dep. a Coruna#9
3-2W
02 Oct2026
Real Sociedad#5 vs Ath Bilbao#13
0-1L
20 Sept2026
Valencia#19 vs Real Sociedad#5
2-3W
17 Sept2026
Real Sociedad#5 vs Bournemouth#15
1-2L
13 Sept2026
Real Sociedad#5 vs Atl. Madrid#2
0-3L
07 Sept2026
Elche#18 vs Real Sociedad#5
2-3W
03 Sept2026
Real Sociedad#5 vs Celta Vigo#8
0-0D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
02 Oct2026
Real Sociedad#5 vs Ath Bilbao#13
0-1•
04 Mar2026
Real Sociedad#5 vs Ath Bilbao#13
1-0•
11 Feb2026
Ath Bilbao#13 vs Real Sociedad#5
0-1•
01 Feb2026
Ath Bilbao#13 vs Real Sociedad#5
1-1•
01 Nov2025
Real Sociedad#5 vs Ath Bilbao#13
3-2•
04 May2025
Real Sociedad#5 vs Ath Bilbao#13
0-0•
24 Nov2024
Ath Bilbao#13 vs Real Sociedad#5
1-0•
13 Jan2024
Ath Bilbao#13 vs Real Sociedad#5
2-1•
30 Sept2023
Real Sociedad#5 vs Ath Bilbao#13
3-0•
15 Apr2023
Ath Bilbao#13 vs Real Sociedad#5
2-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Ath Bilbao
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