Ath Bilbao vs Getafe

Match preview

The model makes Ath Bilbao favourites at 52% (Getafe 23%, draw 25%). That rests on expected goals of 1.40 to 0.82 and 3 wins in Ath Bilbao's last 10 matches to 1 for Getafe. Bookmakers give Ath Bilbao about 60% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 33% and both teams scoring at 42%.

Key facts

• Getafe failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away games.
• Ath Bilbao kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
• Ath Bilbao are 13th in LaLiga on 9 points from 8 games; Getafe are 15th on 9.
• They last met on 5 Apr 2026, when Getafe won 2-0.
• Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.