Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Real Madrid favourites at 72% (RB Leipzig 14%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.95 to 1.23 and 8 wins in Real Madrid's last 10 matches to 5 for RB Leipzig. It put over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 59%. Real Madrid won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Real Madrid have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 6 Mar 2024, when it finished 1-1.