QPR vs Derby

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made QPR favourites at 66% (Derby 13%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.70 to 0.57 and 3 wins in QPR's last 10 matches to 1 for Derby. It put over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 44%. QPR won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• QPR have gone 5 matches without a win.
• Derby have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 25 Apr 2026, when Derby won 3-2.