Nottingham vs Arsenal

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Arsenal favourites at 83% (Nottingham 3%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.12 to 0.22, 9 wins in Arsenal's last 10 matches to 3 for Nottingham and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 26%. Arsenal won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 17 Jan 2026, when it finished 0-0.