Norwich vs Southampton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Southampton favourites at 51% (Norwich 30%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.18 to 1.62 and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 69%. Southampton won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Norwich have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 18 Mar 2026, when Southampton won 1-0.