Football · Championship · England
Norwich vs Watford
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Norwich favourites at 52% (Watford 26%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.73 to 1.13. Bookmakers give Norwich about 59% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 56%.
Key facts
- Watford failed to score in 4 of their last 5 away games.
- Norwich are 20th in Championship on 12 points from 12 games; Watford are 21st on 11.
- They last met on 29 Dec 2025, when Watford won 1-0.
- Watford concede 2 goals a game away from home.
England•Championship
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-0-5
Last 10 matches
1010
15/217/18
1.500.70
2.101.80
6/105/10
5/102/10
10/109/10
4/104/10
0/101/10
4/105/10
7/107/10
7/104/10
6/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Norwich at homeWatford away
45
1/40/5
0/40/5
3/45/5
1.250.20
1.752.00
2/41/5
2/40/5
1/40/5
4/45/5
1/42/5
0/40/5
2/44/5
2/41/5
2/41/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Norwich: 1.73
Expected Goals
Watford: 1.13
Norwich
52%
Draw
22%
Watford
26%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 56%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.4%
1 — Norwich
1.57
Implied 59%
Edge -7.3%
X
4.30
Implied 22%
Edge +0.3%
2 — Watford
4.90▲
Implied 19%
Edge +7.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Norwich · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Charlton#19 vs Norwich#20
1-3W
17 Oct2026
Norwich#20 vs Portsmouth#11
0-1L
14 Oct2026
Norwich#20 vs Southampton#6
0-1L
10 Oct2026
Swansea#2 vs Norwich#20
2-1L
20 Sept2026
Norwich#20 vs Bolton#18
3-4L
17 Sept2026
Manchester City#1 vs Norwich#20
5-0L
12 Sept2026
Middlesbrough#1 vs Norwich#20
4-3L
09 Sept2026
Norwich#20 vs Birmingham#7
2-1W
05 Sept2026
Sheffield Utd#12 vs Norwich#20
1-3W
01 Sept2026
Stoke#9 vs Norwich#20
1-0L
Team 2 Form
Watford · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Wolves#4 vs Watford#21
1-0L
17 Oct2026
Watford#21 vs Charlton#19
2-0W
13 Oct2026
Cardiff#16 vs Watford#21
5-1L
10 Oct2026
Watford#21 vs Burnley#22
0-4L
18 Sept2026
Bristol City#14 vs Watford#21
1-0L
12 Sept2026
Watford#21 vs Stoke#9
1-2L
08 Sept2026
Watford#21 vs Preston#24
2-1W
05 Sept2026
West Brom#5 vs Watford#21
1-0L
01 Sept2026
Swansea#2 vs Watford#21
2-0L
29 Aug2026
Watford#21 vs West Ham#3
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
29 Dec2025
Norwich#20 vs Watford#21
0-1•
06 Dec2025
Watford#21 vs Norwich#20
3-2•
12 Aug2025
Watford#21 vs Norwich#20
1-2•
01 Feb2025
Watford#21 vs Norwich#20
0-1•
21 Sept2024
Norwich#20 vs Watford#21
4-1•
13 Feb2024
Norwich#20 vs Watford#21
4-2•
28 Nov2023
Watford#21 vs Norwich#20
3-2•
02 Jan2023
Norwich#20 vs Watford#21
0-1•
15 Oct2022
Watford#21 vs Norwich#20
2-1•
21 Jan2022
Watford#21 vs Norwich#20
0-3•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Norwich
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