Nijmegen vs Excelsior

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Excelsior favourites at 71% (Nijmegen 14%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.64 to 1.09 and 9 wins in Excelsior's last 10 matches to 3 for Nijmegen. It put over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 59%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 15%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 4 Apr 2026, when Nijmegen won 2-0.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.