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Match Intelligence

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Football · Premier League · England

Newcastle vs Manchester Utd

Wednesday, 02 December 2026

Match preview

The model makes Newcastle favourites at 58% (Manchester Utd 21%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.74 to 0.92, Newcastle sitting 11th in the table to Manchester Utd's 18th, 3 wins in Newcastle's last 10 matches to 1 for Manchester Utd and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 53%.

Key facts

They last met on 4 Mar 2026, when Newcastle won 2-1.
Manchester Utd concede 2 goals a game away from home.

England•Premier League

Newcastle(6)

Rank 11 · 12 pts

D1d

L6d

L10d

W14d

L22d

L27d

W50d

L55d

W61d

D64d

3W · 2D · 5L

Manchester Utd(3)

Rank 18 · 7 pts

W5d

L8d

L14d

L18d

D21d

L26d

D29d

D49d

L53d

L56d

1W · 3D · 6L

Wednesday, 02 December 2026 at 23:15

H2H: 6-1-3

Last 10 matches

1010

11/179/20

1.100.90

1.702.00

8/106/10

3/102/10

8/1010/10

4/106/10

2/100/10

2/104/10

7/109/10

5/104/10

6/106/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

Newcastle at homeManchester Utd away

1/40/5

1/42/5

2/43/5

1.000.60

1.252.00

2/43/5

2/40/5

0/40/5

4/45/5

1/43/5

0/40/5

2/42/5

2/41/5

2/43/5

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Newcastle: 1.74

Expected Goals

Manchester Utd: 0.92

Newcastle

58%

Draw

21%

Manchester Utd

21%

Over 2.5: 48%

BTTS: 53%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Bookmaker odds not available for this match.

Team 1 Form

Newcastle · # = league position now

07 Nov2026

Fulham#15 vs Newcastle#11

1-1D

02 Nov2026

Newcastle#11 vs Everton#5

0-1L

29 Oct2026

Everton#5 vs Newcastle#11

3-1L

25 Oct2026

Crystal Palace#19 vs Newcastle#11

0-2W

17 Oct2026

Newcastle#11 vs Aston Villa#12

0-1L

12 Oct2026

Coventry#17 vs Newcastle#11

4-1L

19 Sept2026

Newcastle#11 vs Hull#13

2-1W

14 Sept2026

Leeds#8 vs Newcastle#11

4-1L

08 Sept2026

Millwall#16 vs Newcastle#11

0-1W

05 Sept2026

Newcastle#11 vs Bournemouth#9

2-2D

Team 2 Form

Manchester Utd · # = league position now

03 Nov2026

Manchester Utd#18 vs as Roma#2

3-2W

31 Oct2026

Chelsea#4 vs Manchester Utd#18

2-0L

25 Oct2026

Manchester Utd#18 vs Bournemouth#9

0-3L

21 Oct2026

Como#4 vs Manchester Utd#18

4-1L

18 Oct2026

Leeds#8 vs Manchester Utd#18

1-1D

13 Oct2026

Atl. Madrid#3 vs Manchester Utd#18

2-0L

10 Oct2026

Manchester Utd#18 vs Tottenham#10

1-1D

20 Sept2026

Fulham#15 vs Manchester Utd#18

1-1D

16 Sept2026

Manchester Utd#18 vs Brighton#3

2-3L

13 Sept2026

Manchester Utd#18 vs Manchester City#2

0-1L

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

04 Mar2026

Newcastle#11 vs Manchester Utd#18

2-1•

26 Dec2025