Manchester Utd vs Tottenham

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Manchester Utd favourites at 60% (Tottenham 21%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.04 to 1.12. Tottenham lead the head-to-head 5-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 54%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 19%.

Key facts before the match

• Tottenham have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 7 Feb 2026, when Manchester Utd won 2-0.