Manchester Utd vs Manchester City

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Manchester City favourites at 49% (Manchester Utd 31%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.93 to 1.48 and 6 wins in Manchester City's last 10 matches to 4 for Manchester Utd. It put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 62%. Manchester City won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Manchester City have won 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 17 Jan 2026, when Manchester Utd won 2-0.