Liverpool vs Villarreal

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Liverpool favourites at 56% (Villarreal 24%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.92 to 1.17, 6 wins in Liverpool's last 10 matches to 3 for Villarreal and 3 wins from the last 4 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 54%. Liverpool won 4-3, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 3 May 2022, when Liverpool won 3-2.