Jong AZ vs Helmond

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Jong AZ favourites at 60% (Helmond 22%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.34 to 1.34 and 4 wins in Jong AZ's last 10 matches to 2 for Helmond. It put over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 76%. Jong AZ won 5-4, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Helmond have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 3 Apr 2026, when Jong AZ won 2-0.