Football · Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond vs Eindhoven FC
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Helmond favourites at 50% (Eindhoven FC 31%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.14 to 1.66. Bookmakers give Helmond about 45% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 68%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Helmond's last 10 matches and 8 of Eindhoven FC's.
- Eindhoven FC failed to score in 2 of their last 4 away games.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Helmond's last 10 matches and 7 of Eindhoven FC's.
- Helmond are 19th in Eerste Divisie on 9 points from 12 games; Eindhoven FC are 18th on 11.
- Helmond have lost 3 matches in a row.
Netherlands•Eerste Divisie
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 4-1-5
Last 10 matches
1010
18/2313/22
1.801.30
2.302.20
8/107/10
5/105/10
10/109/10
8/106/10
0/101/10
2/103/10
10/108/10
7/108/10
8/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Helmond at homeEindhoven fc away
54
2/50/4
2/51/4
1/53/4
2.001.00
1.603.00
4/52/4
3/52/4
2/50/4
5/53/4
3/53/4
0/51/4
1/52/4
3/53/4
4/52/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Helmond: 2.14
Expected Goals
Eindhoven fc: 1.66
Helmond
50%
Draw
19%
Eindhoven fc
31%
Over 2.5: 69%
BTTS: 68%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.1%
1 — Helmond
2.05▲
Implied 45%
Edge +4.9%
X
3.70▲
Implied 25%
Edge -6.0%
2 — Eindhoven FC
3.10
Implied 30%
Edge +1.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Helmond · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Jong az#8 vs Helmond#19
5-4L
16 Oct2026
Helmond#19 vs Nac Breda#6
0-2L
09 Oct2026
Oss#14 vs Helmond#19
3-1L
02 Oct2026
Helmond#19 vs Heracles#1
2-2D
26 Sept2026
Maastricht#10 vs Helmond#19
2-0L
18 Sept2026
Den Bosch#13 vs Helmond#19
2-1L
11 Sept2026
Helmond#19 vs Jong Psv#12
3-1W
04 Sept2026
Helmond#19 vs Venlo#3
4-2W
28 Aug2026
Jong Ajax#15 vs Helmond#19
3-2L
21 Aug2026
Helmond#19 vs Waalwijk#11
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Eindhoven fc · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Eindhoven fc#18 vs Jong Psv#12
1-2L
16 Oct2026
Eindhoven fc#18 vs Vitesse#9
0-1L
09 Oct2026
Almere City#4 vs Eindhoven fc#18
3-0L
03 Oct2026
Eindhoven fc#18 vs de Graafschap#16
2-2D
26 Sept2026
Nac Breda#6 vs Eindhoven fc#18
4-2L
18 Sept2026
Eindhoven fc#18 vs fc Emmen#2
3-1W
11 Sept2026
Eindhoven fc#18 vs Dordrecht#17
2-1W
07 Sept2026
Jong Utrecht#20 vs Eindhoven fc#18
0-0D
30 Aug2026
Eindhoven fc#18 vs Heracles#1
1-3L
21 Aug2026
Den Bosch#13 vs Eindhoven fc#18
5-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
24 Apr2026
Eindhoven fc#18 vs Helmond#19
1-0•
26 Sept2025
Helmond#19 vs Eindhoven fc#18
1-0•
28 Mar2025
Eindhoven fc#18 vs Helmond#19
2-2•
22 Nov2024
Helmond#19 vs Eindhoven fc#18
3-4•
03 May2024
Helmond#19 vs Eindhoven fc#18
2-0•
20 Oct2023
Eindhoven fc#18 vs Helmond#19
1-2•
12 May2023
Eindhoven fc#18 vs Helmond#19
0-1•
19 Aug2022
Helmond#19 vs Eindhoven fc#18
0-1•
04 Mar2022
Helmond#19 vs Eindhoven fc#18
1-2•
13 Sept2021
Eindhoven fc#18 vs Helmond#19
3-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Helmond
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