Football · Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda vs Jong AZ
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Roda favourites at 48% (Jong AZ 33%, draw 19%). Jong AZ lead the head-to-head 5-3, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Roda about 53% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 69%.
Key facts
- Roda are 5th in Eerste Divisie on 22 points from 12 games; Jong AZ are 8th on 17.
- They last met on 24 Apr 2026, when Jong AZ won 2-0.
- Jong AZ have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
- Jong AZ concede 2.8 goals a game away from home.
Netherlands•Eerste Divisie
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-2-5
Last 10 matches
1010
13/926/23
1.302.60
0.902.30
8/109/10
4/106/10
6/1010/10
3/106/10
4/100/10
2/101/10
7/109/10
3/108/10
5/109/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Roda at homeJong az away
45
2/41/5
2/42/5
0/42/5
1.502.80
0.752.80
4/45/5
2/43/5
0/42/5
2/45/5
1/44/5
2/40/5
0/40/5
1/44/5
2/45/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Roda: 2.06
Expected Goals
Jong az: 1.68
Roda
48%
Draw
19%
Jong az
33%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 69%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.5%
1 — Roda
1.75▼
Implied 53%
Edge -4.7%
X
4.00▲
Implied 23%
Edge -4.1%
2 — Jong AZ
3.80▲
Implied 24%
Edge +8.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Roda · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Almere City#4 vs Roda#5
2-3W
19 Oct2026
Jong Utrecht#20 vs Roda#5
1-2W
09 Oct2026
Roda#5 vs Jong Psv#12
1-1D
04 Oct2026
Venlo#3 vs Roda#5
2-0L
26 Sept2026
Roda#5 vs Waalwijk#11
2-0W
18 Sept2026
Jong Ajax#15 vs Roda#5
0-0D
12 Sept2026
Roda#5 vs Vitesse#9
1-0W
06 Sept2026
Maastricht#10 vs Roda#5
1-1D
28 Aug2026
Roda#5 vs Nac Breda#6
2-2D
21 Aug2026
Dordrecht#17 vs Roda#5
0-1W
Team 2 Form
Jong az · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Jong az#8 vs Helmond#19
5-4W
16 Oct2026
Venlo#3 vs Jong az#8
4-4D
09 Oct2026
Jong az#8 vs Den Bosch#13
0-1L
18 Sept2026
Jong az#8 vs fc Volendam#7
4-1W
14 Sept2026
Jong Psv#12 vs Jong az#8
1-1D
11 Sept2026
Heracles#1 vs Jong az#8
3-2L
05 Sept2026
Dordrecht#17 vs Jong az#8
3-6W
31 Aug2026
Jong az#8 vs Jong Utrecht#20
2-1W
28 Aug2026
Jong az#8 vs Maastricht#10
1-2L
21 Aug2026
fc Emmen#2 vs Jong az#8
3-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
24 Apr2026
Jong az#8 vs Roda#5
2-0•
05 Dec2025
Roda#5 vs Jong az#8
2-3•
07 Feb2025
Roda#5 vs Jong az#8
3-3•
12 Aug2024
Jong az#8 vs Roda#5
6-1•
05 Feb2024
Jong az#8 vs Roda#5
1-0•
06 Oct2023
Roda#5 vs Jong az#8
3-1•
13 Mar2023
Roda#5 vs Jong az#8
2-0•
07 Nov2022
Jong az#8 vs Roda#5
2-0•
04 Apr2022
Jong az#8 vs Roda#5
0-1•
19 Nov2021
Roda#5 vs Jong az#8
2-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Roda
Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.