Hull vs Aston Villa

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Hull favourites at 69% (Aston Villa 12%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.88 to 0.60 and 6 wins in Hull's last 10 matches to 3 for Aston Villa. Aston Villa lead the head-to-head 5-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 46%. It ended 0-0, a draw the model had put at 19%.

Key facts before the match

• Aston Villa have lost 5 matches in a row.
• They last met on 19 Jan 2019, when it finished 2-2.