Hoffenheim vs Besiktas

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Besiktas favourites at 69% (Hoffenheim 15%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.43 to 1.03 and 7 wins in Besiktas's last 10 matches to 3 for Hoffenheim. It put over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams scoring at 57%. Besiktas won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Hoffenheim have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 27 Jul 2016, when it finished 0-0.