Hartlepool vs Hornchurch

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Hornchurch favourites at 62% (Hartlepool 17%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.77 to 0.79 and 5 wins in Hornchurch's last 10 matches to 1 for Hartlepool. It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 40%. Hartlepool won 2-1, against the model's 62% for Hornchurch.