Football · National League · England
Hornchurch vs Yeovil
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Yeovil favourites at 60% (Hornchurch 21%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.13 to 1.16 and Yeovil sitting 4th in the table to Hornchurch's 9th. Bookmakers give Yeovil about 40% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 54%.
Key facts
- Yeovil scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
England•National League
vs
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-0-0
Last 10 matches
1010
11/1429/14
1.102.90
1.401.40
6/1010/10
3/105/10
7/107/10
4/104/10
3/103/10
4/100/10
8/109/10
6/107/10
3/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Hornchurch at homeYeovil away
44
3/42/4
1/42/4
0/40/4
1.502.75
0.501.00
4/44/4
2/42/4
0/42/4
2/42/4
0/41/4
2/42/4
0/40/4
1/42/4
2/42/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Hornchurch: 1.16
Expected Goals
Yeovil: 2.13
Hornchurch
21%
Draw
19%
Yeovil
60%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 54%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 10.2%
1 — Hornchurch
2.75▼
Implied 33%
Edge -12.0%
X
3.40
Implied 27%
Edge -7.7%
2 — Yeovil
2.25
Implied 40%
Edge +19.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Hornchurch · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Hartlepool#21 vs Hornchurch#9
2-1L
17 Oct2026
Uxbridge vs Hornchurch#9
0-4W
10 Oct2026
Hornchurch#9 vs Eastleigh#15
2-0W
06 Oct2026
Hornchurch#9 vs Fulham U21#4
1-1D
03 Oct2026
Harrogate#2 vs Hornchurch#9
3-0L
29 Sept2026
Hornchurch#9 vs Aldershot#13
2-1W
26 Sept2026
Altrincham#6 vs Hornchurch#9
3-0L
19 Sept2026
Hornchurch#9 vs Scunthorpe#22
1-0W
15 Sept2026
Worthing#5 vs Hornchurch#9
1-0L
12 Sept2026
fc Halifax#10 vs Hornchurch#9
3-0L
Team 2 Form
Yeovil · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Yeovil#4 vs Altrincham#6
1-2L
20 Oct2026
Yeovil#4 vs Leatherhead
5-2W
17 Oct2026
Leatherhead vs Yeovil#4
3-3D
10 Oct2026
Wealdstone#20 vs Yeovil#4
0-6W
03 Oct2026
Yeovil#4 vs Boston Utd#19
6-0W
29 Sept2026
Yeovil#4 vs Worthing#5
1-1D
26 Sept2026
Kidderminster#11 vs Yeovil#4
0-1W
18 Sept2026
Yeovil#4 vs Solihull Moors#23
4-1W
15 Sept2026
Aldershot#13 vs Yeovil#4
1-1D
12 Sept2026
Yeovil#4 vs Afc Fylde#7
1-4L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Hornchurch
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