AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool

Match preview

The model makes AFC Fylde favourites at 69% (Hartlepool 15%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.36 to 0.97, AFC Fylde sitting 7th in the table to Hartlepool's 21st, 5 wins in AFC Fylde's last 10 matches to 2 for Hartlepool and 5 wins from the last 9 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give AFC Fylde about 56% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 61%.

Key facts

• They last met on 4 Mar 2025, when AFC Fylde won 2-1.
• 7 of the last 9 meetings had three or more goals.
• Hartlepool concede 2.5 goals a game away from home.