Harrogate vs Sutton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Harrogate favourites at 70% (Sutton 13%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.08 to 0.72 and 7 wins in Harrogate's last 10 matches to 3 for Sutton. Sutton lead the head-to-head 7-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 50%. Harrogate won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Harrogate are unbeaten in 6 matches.
• They last met on 13 Apr 2024, when it finished 2-2.