Hajduk Split vs Ajax

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ajax favourites at 49% (Hajduk Split 32%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.17 to 1.71. Hajduk Split come in with the better recent form (8 wins from 10 to 5), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 68%. Hajduk Split won 2-1, against the model's 49% for Ajax.