Football · HNL · Croatia
Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split
Monday, 26 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Hajduk Split favourites at 60% (Istra 1961 20%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.96 to 1.02, Hajduk Split sitting 1st in the table to Istra 1961's 6th and 9 wins in Hajduk Split's last 10 matches to 4 for Istra 1961. Bookmakers give Hajduk Split about 54% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 53%.
Key facts
- Hajduk Split kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- Hajduk Split have won 4 matches in a row.
- They last met on 9 Aug 2026, when it finished 2-2.
Croatia•HNL
vs
Monday, 26 October 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-5-3
Last 10 matches
1010
20/1318/7
2.001.80
1.300.70
7/109/10
7/106/10
7/104/10
5/102/10
3/106/10
3/101/10
8/107/10
7/105/10
5/103/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Istra 1961 at homeHajduk Split away
45
2/44/5
1/40/5
1/41/5
2.002.00
1.251.00
3/44/5
3/43/5
2/42/5
3/42/5
2/42/5
1/43/5
1/41/5
3/43/5
2/41/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Istra 1961: 1.02
Expected Goals
Hajduk Split: 1.96
Istra 1961
20%
Draw
20%
Hajduk Split
60%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 53%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.9%
1 — Istra 1961
4.20▲
Implied 22%
Edge -1.9%
X
3.80▲
Implied 24%
Edge -4.2%
2 — Hajduk Split
1.70▼
Implied 54%
Edge +6.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Istra 1961 · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Lok. Zagreb#7 vs Istra 1961#6
2-0L
10 Oct2026
Osijek#4 vs Istra 1961#6
1-3W
19 Sept2026
Istra 1961#6 vs Gorica#10
0-1L
13 Sept2026
Istra 1961#6 vs Rudes#9
3-2W
08 Sept2026
Zagorec k. vs Istra 1961#6
0-5W
04 Sept2026
Varazdin#3 vs Istra 1961#6
0-0D
29 Aug2026
Istra 1961#6 vs Din. Zagreb#2
2-2D
23 Aug2026
Rijeka#5 vs Istra 1961#6
3-2L
15 Aug2026
Istra 1961#6 vs Slaven Belupo#8
3-0W
09 Aug2026
Hajduk Split#1 vs Istra 1961#6
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Hajduk Split · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Thun#9 vs Hajduk Split#1
0-1W
18 Oct2026
Hajduk Split#1 vs Varazdin#3
1-0W
15 Oct2026
Hajduk Split#1 vs Ajax#4
2-1W
10 Oct2026
Hajduk Split#1 vs Din. Zagreb#2
2-1W
20 Sept2026
Rijeka#5 vs Hajduk Split#1
3-0L
13 Sept2026
Hajduk Split#1 vs Slaven Belupo#8
1-0W
08 Sept2026
Vardarac Vardaroc vs Hajduk Split#1
0-2W
06 Sept2026
Rudes#9 vs Hajduk Split#1
0-4W
31 Aug2026
Hajduk Split#1 vs Lok. Zagreb#7
2-0W
27 Aug2026
Rakow#18 vs Hajduk Split#1
2-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
09 Aug2026
Hajduk Split#1 vs Istra 1961#6
2-2•
07 Apr2026
Istra 1961#6 vs Hajduk Split#1
1-3•
25 Jan2026
Hajduk Split#1 vs Istra 1961#6
1-2•
19 Oct2025
Istra 1961#6 vs Hajduk Split#1
0-3•
03 Aug2025
Hajduk Split#1 vs Istra 1961#6
2-1•
23 Apr2025
Hajduk Split#1 vs Istra 1961#6
0-1•
15 Feb2025
Istra 1961#6 vs Hajduk Split#1
1-1•
09 Nov2024
Hajduk Split#1 vs Istra 1961#6
1-1•
25 Aug2024
Istra 1961#6 vs Hajduk Split#1
1-1•
12 May2024
Istra 1961#6 vs Hajduk Split#1
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Istra 1961
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