Genoa vs Sudtirol

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Sudtirol favourites at 50% (Genoa 27%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.57 to 1.07. Genoa lead the head-to-head 2-0, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 39%. Genoa won 1-0, against the model's 50% for Sudtirol.

Key facts before the match

• Sudtirol are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• They last met on 1 May 2023, when it finished 0-0.