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Football · Serie A · Italy

Genoa vs Juventus

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Juventus favourites at 67% (Genoa 15%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.05 to 0.83, Juventus sitting 9th in the table to Genoa's 17th and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. Bookmakers give Juventus about 58% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 43%.

Key facts

  • They last met on 6 Apr 2026, when Juventus won 2-0.
Italy•Serie A
Rank 17 · 4 pts
L7d
W14d
L22d
L34d
W39d
D42d
L50d
L55d
L63d
W69d
3W · 1D · 6L
vs
Rank 9 · 11 pts
D2d
L6d
W9d
D13d
L22d
W34d
W37d
L41d
D48d
W56d
4W · 3D · 3L
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 1-2-7
Last 10 matches
1010
10/1617/12
1.001.70
1.601.20
6/108/10
2/106/10
9/107/10
5/103/10
1/103/10
4/102/10
8/109/10
4/105/10
5/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Genoa at homeJuventus away
63
3/61/3
1/61/3
2/61/3
1.501.67
1.501.67
5/63/3
2/62/3
1/60/3
5/63/3
2/61/3
1/60/3
1/60/3
3/62/3
4/63/3
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Genoa: 0.83
Expected Goals
Juventus: 2.05
Genoa
15%
Draw
18%
Juventus
67%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 43%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.9%
1 — Genoa
5.60▲
Implied 17%
Edge -1.9%
X
3.80▼
Implied 25%
Edge -6.8%
2 — Juventus
1.62
Implied 58%
Edge +8.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Genoa · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
as Roma#3 vs Genoa#17
2-0L
10 Oct2026
Genoa#17 vs Fiorentina#18
2-1W
02 Oct2026
fc Rapid Bucuresti#2 vs Genoa#17
2-0L
20 Sept2026
Parma#19 vs Genoa#17
2-1L
15 Sept2026
Genoa#17 vs Sudtirol#5
1-0W
12 Sept2026
Genoa#17 vs Frosinone#6
1-1D
04 Sept2026
Genoa#17 vs Como#5
1-4L
30 Aug2026
Lazio#2 vs Genoa#17
1-0L
22 Aug2026
Genoa#17 vs Napoli#10
0-2L
16 Aug2026
Genoa#17 vs Ascoli#6
4-1W
Team 2 Form
Juventus · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Juventus#9 vs Rennes#6
2-2D
18 Oct2026
Juventus#9 vs Lazio#2
0-3L
15 Oct2026
Celta Vigo#8 vs Juventus#9
1-2W
11 Oct2026
Cagliari#7 vs Juventus#9
1-1D
02 Oct2026
Juventus#9 vs Cremonese#17
0-1L
20 Sept2026
Juventus#9 vs Atalanta#11
2-0W
17 Sept2026
Juventus#9 vs Nijmegen#12
5-0W
13 Sept2026
Sassuolo#13 vs Juventus#9
3-2L
06 Sept2026
Juventus#9 vs ac Milan#4
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Juventus#9 vs Parma#19
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
06 Apr2026
Juventus#9 vs Genoa#17
2-0•
31 Aug2025
Genoa#17 vs Juventus#9
0-1•
29 Mar2025
Juventus#9 vs Genoa#17
1-0•
28 Sept2024
Genoa#17 vs Juventus#9
0-3•
17 Mar2024
Juventus#9 vs Genoa#17
0-0•
15 Dec2023
Genoa#17 vs Juventus#9
1-1•
06 May2022
Genoa#17 vs Juventus#9
2-1•
05 Dec2021
Juventus#9 vs Genoa#17
2-0•
11 Apr2021
Juventus#9 vs Genoa#17
3-1•
13 Jan2021
Juventus#9 vs Genoa#17
3-2•

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