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Football · Serie A · Italy

Lecce vs Juventus

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Juventus favourites at 51% (Lecce 29%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.88 to 1.37 and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give Juventus about 66% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 53%.

Key facts

  • Lecce are 12th in Serie A on 9 points from 7 games; Juventus are 9th on 11.
  • They last met on 9 May 2026, when Juventus won 1-0.
Italy•Serie A
Rank 12 · 9 pts
W6d
L13d
L34d
W41d
L47d
L54d
W62d
L68d
W76d
W87d
5W · 0D · 5L
vs
Rank 9 · 11 pts
D2d
L6d
W9d
D13d
L22d
W34d
W37d
L41d
D48d
W56d
4W · 3D · 3L
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 0-3-7
Last 10 matches
1010
15/1617/12
1.501.70
1.601.20
6/108/10
4/106/10
7/107/10
6/103/10
3/103/10
4/102/10
8/109/10
6/105/10
3/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Lecce at homeJuventus away
53
3/51/3
0/51/3
2/51/3
2.001.67
2.001.67
4/53/3
2/52/3
2/50/3
4/53/3
4/51/3
1/50/3
1/50/3
4/52/3
3/53/3
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Lecce: 1.37
Expected Goals
Juventus: 1.88
Lecce
29%
Draw
20%
Juventus
51%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 53%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.0%
1 — Lecce
7.80▼
Implied 12%
Edge +16.9%
X
4.40▼
Implied 21%
Edge -1.4%
2 — Juventus
1.42▼
Implied 66%
Edge -15.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Lecce · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Udinese#16 vs Lecce#12
0-3W
11 Oct2026
Lecce#12 vs Bologna#15
1-2L
20 Sept2026
ac Milan#4 vs Lecce#12
3-0L
13 Sept2026
Lecce#12 vs Monza#14
3-2W
07 Sept2026
Cagliari#7 vs Lecce#12
1-0L
31 Aug2026
Lecce#12 vs as Roma#3
0-4L
23 Aug2026
Venezia#20 vs Lecce#12
0-2W
17 Aug2026
Palermo#1 vs Lecce#12
2-0L
09 Aug2026
Lecce#12 vs Monopoli
1-0W
29 Jul2026
Lecce#12 vs nk Bistrica
5-2W
Team 2 Form
Juventus · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Juventus#9 vs Rennes#6
2-2D
18 Oct2026
Juventus#9 vs Lazio#2
0-3L
15 Oct2026
Celta Vigo#8 vs Juventus#9
1-2W
11 Oct2026
Cagliari#7 vs Juventus#9
1-1D
02 Oct2026
Juventus#9 vs Cremonese#17
0-1L
20 Sept2026
Juventus#9 vs Atalanta#11
2-0W
17 Sept2026
Juventus#9 vs Nijmegen#12
5-0W
13 Sept2026
Sassuolo#13 vs Juventus#9
3-2L
06 Sept2026
Juventus#9 vs ac Milan#4
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Juventus#9 vs Parma#19
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
09 May2026
Lecce#12 vs Juventus#9
0-1•
03 Jan2026
Juventus#9 vs Lecce#12
1-1•
12 Apr2025
Juventus#9 vs Lecce#12
2-1•
01 Dec2024
Lecce#12 vs Juventus#9
1-1•
21 Jan2024
Lecce#12 vs Juventus#9
0-3•
26 Sept2023
Juventus#9 vs Lecce#12
1-0•
03 May2023
Juventus#9 vs Lecce#12
2-1•
29 Oct2022
Lecce#12 vs Juventus#9
0-1•
26 Jun2020
Juventus#9 vs Lecce#12
4-0•
26 Oct2019
Lecce#12 vs Juventus#9
1-1•

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