SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Football · Serie A · Italy

Genoa vs Venezia

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Genoa favourites at 52% (Venezia 27%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.84 to 1.27 and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 56%.

Key facts

  • Genoa are 17th in Serie A on 4 points from 7 games; Venezia are 20th on 3.
  • They last met on 17 Feb 2025, when Genoa won 2-0.
  • Venezia concede 2.4 goals a game away from home.
Italy•Serie A
Rank 17 · 4 pts
L7d
W14d
L22d
L34d
W39d
D42d
L50d
L55d
L63d
W69d
3W · 1D · 6L
vs
Rank 20 · 3 pts
W7d
L12d
L35d
L43d
L48d
L52d
L57d
L62d
W70d
D77d
2W · 1D · 7L
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 6-2-2
Last 10 matches
1010
10/1612/22
1.001.20
1.602.20
6/107/10
2/104/10
9/109/10
5/109/10
1/101/10
4/103/10
8/109/10
4/106/10
5/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Genoa at homeVenezia away
65
3/60/5
1/61/5
2/64/5
1.501.20
1.502.40
5/64/5
2/62/5
1/60/5
5/65/5
2/65/5
1/60/5
1/61/5
3/64/5
4/64/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Genoa: 1.84
Expected Goals
Venezia: 1.27
Genoa
52%
Draw
21%
Venezia
27%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.1%
1 — Genoa
2.05▼
Implied 46%
Edge +5.6%
X
3.50▲
Implied 27%
Edge -6.2%
2 — Venezia
3.60▲
Implied 26%
Edge +0.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Genoa · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
as Roma#3 vs Genoa#17
2-0L
10 Oct2026
Genoa#17 vs Fiorentina#18
2-1W
02 Oct2026
fc Rapid Bucuresti#2 vs Genoa#17
2-0L
20 Sept2026
Parma#19 vs Genoa#17
2-1L
15 Sept2026
Genoa#17 vs Sudtirol#5
1-0W
12 Sept2026
Genoa#17 vs Frosinone#6
1-1D
04 Sept2026
Genoa#17 vs Como#5
1-4L
30 Aug2026
Lazio#2 vs Genoa#17
1-0L
22 Aug2026
Genoa#17 vs Napoli#10
0-2L
16 Aug2026
Genoa#17 vs Ascoli#6
4-1W
Team 2 Form
Venezia · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Venezia#20 vs Napoli#10
1-0W
12 Oct2026
Atalanta#11 vs Venezia#20
3-1L
19 Sept2026
Venezia#20 vs Lazio#2
0-2L
11 Sept2026
Venezia#20 vs Fiorentina#18
2-4L
06 Sept2026
Frosinone#6 vs Venezia#20
3-2L
02 Sept2026
Udinese#16 vs Venezia#20
2-1L
28 Aug2026
ac Milan#4 vs Venezia#20
2-0L
23 Aug2026
Venezia#20 vs Lecce#12
0-2L
15 Aug2026
Venezia#20 vs Modena#4
3-2W
08 Aug2026
Brest#11 vs Venezia#20
2-2D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
17 Feb2025
Genoa#17 vs Venezia#20
2-0•
21 Sept2024
Venezia#20 vs Genoa#17
2-0•
20 Jul2024
Venezia#20 vs Genoa#17
1-3•
22 Jul2023
Genoa#17 vs Venezia#20
1-4•
16 Jan2023
Genoa#17 vs Venezia#20
1-0•
14 Aug2022
Venezia#20 vs Genoa#17
1-2•
20 Feb2022
Venezia#20 vs Genoa#17
1-1•
31 Oct2021
Genoa#17 vs Venezia#20
0-0•
11 Jun2005
Genoa#17 vs Venezia#20
3-2•
16 Jan2005
Venezia#20 vs Genoa#17
0-3•

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.