Gateshead vs Worthing

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Worthing favourites at 85% (Gateshead 5%, draw 10%). That rests on expected goals of 2.70 to 0.44 and 4 wins in Worthing's last 10 matches to 0 for Gateshead. It put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 41%. Worthing won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Gateshead have lost 6 matches in a row.
• Worthing are unbeaten in 7 matches.