Freiburg vs Jablonec

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Freiburg favourites at 66% (Jablonec 16%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.07 to 0.90 and 9 wins in Freiburg's last 10 matches to 4 for Jablonec. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 50%. Freiburg won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Freiburg are unbeaten in 10 matches.