Exeter vs Fleetwood

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Exeter favourites at 57% (Fleetwood 19%, draw 24%). That rests on expected goals of 1.52 to 0.72 and 3 wins from the last 8 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 44%. Exeter won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Exeter are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• They last met on 24 Feb 2024, when it finished 1-1.
• 6 of the last 8 meetings had three or more goals.