Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Sparta Rotterdam favourites at 49% (Excelsior 32%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.27 to 1.82. Excelsior come in with the better recent form (8 wins from 10 to 4), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 70%. Excelsior won 2-1, against the model's 49% for Sparta Rotterdam.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 17 May 2026, when Excelsior won 3-2.